PISTONS? HORNETS? HEAT? THE EAST'S FINAL BATTLE IS HERE
Here we are: the final three days of the 2018-19 regular
season. With 15 playoff tickets punched, which East squad -- the Detroit
Pistons, Miami Heat or Charlotte Hornets -- will be the final team in the
tournament?
1. MILWAUKEE
BUCKS
RECORD: 60-21
RECORD: 60-21
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1
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3-1
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OKC
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Giannis
Antetokounmpo put an exclamation point on his season, logging a
45-point, 13-rebound, six-assist, five-block stat line in a shining, MVP-level
performance that led Milwaukee to victory over the Sixers on Thursday. Voters
have a fantastic pair of players to choose from in Antetokounmpo and James Harden.
But it will be a tough, uphill battle for the reigning MVP Harden, given that
the ascending Bucks will finish with the NBA's best record (60 wins as of
Monday), with Antetokounmpo highlighting his elite, two-way balance by likely
making All-Defensive First Team.
2. GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORS
RECORD: 56-24
RECORD: 56-24
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2
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4-0
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@NO, @MEM
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The Warriors' clinched the No. 1 seed in the Western
Conference with a win over the Clippers on Sunday. Even so, Tuesday's game at
New Orleans will matter to center DeMarcus
Cousins, as he returns to play his former Pelicans squad for the
first time since they declined to make him a contract offer when free agency
began July 1. When asked if he will be playing at New Orleans, Cousins said:
"Oh, for sure."
3. HOUSTON
ROCKETS
RECORD: 53-28
RECORD: 53-28
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3
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4-0
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@OKC
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Coach Mike D'Antoni has repeatedly said that his biggest
regret from his Phoenix tenure is that he didn't push the Suns' 3-point
shooting to the extreme. He has made up for that in Houston, as the Rockets
have shattered NBA records for 3-pointers made and attempted in each of
D'Antoni's three seasons at the helm. The Rockets' league ranks in offensive
efficiency in those three seasons: second, first, second.
4. TORONTO
RAPTORS
RECORD: 57-24
RECORD: 57-24
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4
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3-1
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@MIN
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The Raptors await the outcome of the battle royale being
waged among the Eastern Conference second division, all the while finding more
reps for their projected playoff starting lineup. The 5-man unit of Kyle Lowry, Danny Green, Kawhi Leonard, Pascal Siakam and Marc Gasol has
logged 161 minutes in 14 games together and rates a plus-12.2 points per 100
possessions. The only projected playoff starting lineup that has been better
belongs to the Sixers
5. DENVER
NUGGETS
RECORD: 53-27
RECORD: 53-27
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5
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2-2
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@UTAH, MIN
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The Nuggets are slotted in as No. 2 in the West, a huge step
up for a team that missed the playoffs last season. The Nuggets had an
outstanding regular season, led by a rising superstar in Nikola Jokic,
who should earn his first All-NBA nod this season. The Nuggets enter the
postseason favored to win at least one round, with a legitimate chance to make
a run to the Western Conference finals.
6. UTAH JAZZ
RECORD: 49-31
RECORD: 49-31
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3-1
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DEN, @LAC
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The Rockets are the only team with a better record since the
All-Star break than the Jazz, who lost Sunday for only the second time in the
past 14 games. But Utah has significant health concerns as the playoffs near.
Starters Ricky Rubio
and Derrick
Favors and key reserves Jae Crowder, Kyle Korver and Raul Neto
are nursing nagging injuries. On the other hand, Rudy Gobert, Joe Ingles and Royce O'Neale have
played every game this season.
7. PHILADELPHIA
76ERS
RECORD: 50-30
RECORD: 50-30
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6
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1-3
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@MIA, CHI
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When asked last week whether the vaunted starting unit has
played sufficient minutes together, Sixers coach Brett Brown said no. "Why
would anybody expect me to say anything different?" In less than one
week's time, Brown and everyone else will get a true sense of whether the
Simmons-Redick-Butler-Harris-Embiid quintet, with an impressive plus-17.6
points per 100 possessions in a mere 161 minutes, are truly the East's most
dominant lineup.
8. PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERS
RECORD: 51-29
RECORD: 51-29
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8
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3-1
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@LAL, SAC
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The Blazers are sitting on the fourth seed in the Western
Conference with two games remaining. Portland got some great news, getting
guard CJ McCollum
back after he missed 10 games with a knee injury. Even with McCollum out,
All-Star Damian
Lillard led Portland to an 8-2 record over that span.
9. BOSTON
CELTICS
RECORD: 48-33
RECORD: 48-33
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10
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3-1
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@WAS
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The Celtics won three straight games last week over teams
vying for playoff berths, a positive sign that they are playing good basketball
entering the playoffs. The Celtics have also defeated their first-round
opponents, the Pacers, twice in the past two weeks and have done enough to earn
the fourth seed and home-court advantage for that matchup.
10. LA CLIPPERS
RECORD: 47-34
RECORD: 47-34
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9
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0-3
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UTAH
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Setting aside all the acquisitions and departures, this
season's Clippers team has one of the more unique roster compositions in the
league. If the Clippers have one overriding identity, it might be
"competent." Their most frequent tandem and most productive pick-and-roll
combo is Lou Williams (zero
starts) and Montrezl
Harrell (four starts). Although they will likely start three
players ages 22 and younger in the postseason, the Clippers are a veteran-laden
shop that includes Danilo
Gallinari, who is having far and away his most efficient season in
his 11th campaign.
11. SAN ANTONIO
SPURS
RECORD: 47-34
RECORD: 47-34
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11
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3-1
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DAL
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The Spurs are trying to avoid going into the playoffs as the
West's No. 8, also known as the Warriors' warm-up act. San Antonio will
certainly be a significant underdog, putting the Spurs in jeopardy of not
winning a playoff series in two straight years for the first time since 1991
and '92.
12. OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDER
RECORD: 47-33
RECORD: 47-33
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12
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3-0
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HOU, @MIL
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The Thunder had one of the more perplexing final two months
of the regular season, falling from a battle for the No. 2 seed in the West to
a fight to stay out of No. 8. They've won their past three games against
sub-.500 opponents to try to snap out of their funk, and only one of their
remaining games is against a playoff opponent still fighting for seeding. The
Thunder will look to string together a couple more wins and build some positive
momentum entering the postseason.
13. INDIANA
PACERS
RECORD: 47-34
RECORD: 47-34
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13
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2-2
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@ATL
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Indiana took care of business in back-to-back games with
Detroit but lost to the Celtics for a third time on Friday and fell to Brooklyn
on Sunday, ceding the No. 4 seed and home-court advantage to Boston in the
first round. The Pacers are a proud, hard-nosed team that won't be afraid, given how
they battled LeBron and the Cavs last year in the first round. But given their
immense struggles on the road lately -- they've lost 10 of their past 11 away
from Bankers Life Fieldhouse -- holding on to home-court would've been a big
boost for them.
14. ORLANDO MAGIC
RECORD: 41-40
RECORD: 41-40
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15
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3-1
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@CHA
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The Magic secured an East playoff spot for the first time
since 2012 behind nine wins in their past 11 games. It's a huge milestone for a
young squad in what was theoretically a rebuilding season.
15. BROOKLYN NETS
RECORD: 41-40
RECORD: 41-40
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17
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2-2
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MIA
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A team that has been quietly rebuilding without the benefit
of its first-round draft picks since 2013 or any recent major free-agency
acquisitions has secured a playoff berth for the first time in four years. The
Nets will be strong underdogs in their first-round matchup, but this is a Nets
team that features depth on the perimeter and has been a strong defensive squad
since the All-Star break.
16. DETROIT
PISTONS
RECORD: 39-41
RECORD: 39-41
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0-4
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MEM, @NY
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Detroit had a rough week trying to clinch its first playoff
berth since 2016, dropping all four of its games, including one against
Oklahoma City, even though star forward Blake Griffin returned
from injury with a 45-point showing on just 20 shots. The Pistons, who have
remaining games against the Knicks and Grizzlies, are still favored to reach
the postseason. Should they make it, they'll be one of the two worst offenses
in the tournament, putting pressure on secondary players to hit from outside
often enough to open up the lane in screen-and-roll action.
17. MIAMI HEAT
RECORD: 38-42
RECORD: 38-42
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0-4
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PHI, @BKN
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The Heat have lost four straight to put their playoff hopes
in serious danger. The most damaging loss of the week came at the hands of the
lottery-bound Timberwolves, as the Heat should have been the more motivated
team that night. At this point, the Heat likely need to win out and get some
help to have a chance to sneak back into that last playoff spot.
18. CHARLOTTE
HORNETS
RECORD: 38-42
RECORD: 38-42
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19
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3-1
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@CLE, ORL
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Don't give up on Hornets' playoff hopes just yet! After
winning three straight games, the Hornets are one game behind Detroit for the
eighth and final playoff spot in the East. Charlotte hosts a struggling
Cleveland squad on Tuesday and is on the road playing another playoff contender
in Orlando on Wednesday.
19. SACRAMENTO
KINGS
RECORD: 39-42
RECORD: 39-42
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18
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1-3
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@POR
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The Kings have failed in their push to reach .500 for the
first time since 2006, but they can still reach 40 wins for the first time
since 2006 with a win Wednesday at Portland. While the Kings will miss the
playoffs for the 13th straight season, their 39 wins are the most by the
franchise since that 2005-06 season, when they had 44.
20. MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVES
RECORD: 36-44
RECORD: 36-44
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20
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2-2
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TOR, @DEN
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The Timberwolves' nearly NBA-worst attendance got a Final
Four-assisted boost with a sold-out crowd Sunday that watched them fall to the Thunder.
Kentucky head coach John Calipari was also at the Wolves' win over the Heat on
Friday, sitting behind the home bench to watch three of his former players in
the Wolves' Karl-Anthony
Towns and Derrick Rose and
the Heat's Bam Adebayo.
21. LOS ANGELES
LAKERS
RECORD: 37-44
RECORD: 37-44
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22
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2-2
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POR
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If the latter weeks of the Lakers' season have produced
anything, it's a nice sizzle reel for second-year wing Alex Caruso.
Since permanently breaking into the Lakers' rotation on March 6, Caruso has
averaged 12.4 points on an impressive true shooting percentage of 59.1. He's
also a rare Laker with a positive net rating, a plus-3.5 points per 100
possessions.
22. NEW ORLEANS
PELICANS
RECORD: 33-48
RECORD: 33-48
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21
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1-2
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GS
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A couple of the Pelicans' bright spots this season probably
won't benefit the franchise long-term. Julius Randle has
averaged 21.4 points and 8.7 rebounds per game, production that makes it likely
that he will decline his $9.1 million option for next season. Elfrid Payton has
put himself in position to get a significant raise from his $3 million salary
by averaging 10.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 7.5 assists.
23. WASHINGTON
WIZARDS
RECORD: 32-49
RECORD: 32-49
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23
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1-2
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BOS
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The Wizards ousted longtime GM Ernie Grunfeld this past
week, meaning a new executive will hold that role in the organization for the
first time in 16 years. During that time, Grunfeld oversaw five coaches and a
568-724 record and became the first executive to have three homegrown players
signed to max contracts simultaneously. The team had a brief window -- two
years at most -- when it looked like John Wall and Bradley Beal could
ascend to become LeBron and the Cavs' biggest threat in the East. Beal is an
unquestioned star, but figuring out the team's next step -- in light of Wall's
long-term recovery -- will be key for whoever replaces Grunfeld.
24. MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIES
RECORD: 32-48
RECORD: 32-48
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24
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1-2
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@DET, GS
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That Memphis has a legitimate chance to convey the
top-eight-protected pick owed to the Celtics is a credit to J.B. Bickerstaff's
coaching. The Grizzlies have an entire eight-man rotation on the injured list,
with the preferred starting five of Mike Conley, Avery Bradley, Kyle Anderson, Jaren Jackson
Jr. and Jonas
Valanciunas as well as key reserves Dillon Brooks, CJ Miles and Joakim Noah
all missing extended time, including several whose seasons have ended. It's
critical for the rebuilding Grizzlies to give up the pick now, as the
protection drops to top-six next year and becomes unprotected in 2021.
25. ATLANTA HAWKS
RECORD: 29-52
RECORD: 29-52
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25
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1-3
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IND
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If prior to the season you had asked the brass in Atlanta
whether they'd be pleased by winning close to 30 games while maintaining
bottom-five position for the draft, watching the trajectory of Trae Young's
development skyrocket over the final two months, seeing John Collins contend
for Most Improved Player and the emergence of a solid culture under the
direction of rookie head coach Lloyd Pierce, they'd have gladly played that
hand.
26. DALLAS
MAVERICKS
RECORD: 32-48
RECORD: 32-48
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26
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2-2
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PHX, @SA
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Dirk Nowitzki hasn't
officially announced his retirement, but if you need another hint, the
publicist with his foundation played a significant role in planning the
festivities celebrating his 21-year career during and after Tuesday's home
finale. Nowitzki has called this campaign "more frustrating than
enjoyable" due to the difficulties of returning from ankle surgery at age
40, but he accomplished a significant goal by getting his first dunk of the season on Saturday.
27. CHICAGO BULLS
RECORD: 22-58
RECORD: 22-58
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27
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1-2
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NY, @PHI
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The key order of business for the Bulls' front office this
summer -- aside from dreaming of getting the No. 1 pick and getting their
youngsters healthy -- will be figuring out whether to move forward with coach
Jim Boylen, who took over after Fred Hoiberg was fired in December. Executive
John Paxson went out of his way to say he wasn't placing an interim tag on
Boylen, who signed a revised contract through next season. But only
part of his deal is guaranteed next year, which leaves the Bulls some financial
flexibility should they decide to hire someone else this summer in the midst of
the team's rebuild.
28. PHOENIX SUNS
RECORD: 19-62
RECORD: 19-62
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29
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2-2
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@DAL
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Deandre Ayton's
impressive rookie season with the Suns likely would have received much stronger
notice if his team did not have the West's worst record. The No. 1 pick in the
2018 draft is averaging 16.3 points, 10.3 rebounds and 58.5 percent shooting
from the field entering Tuesday's season finale against Dallas. Ayton should be
a strong candidate for the All-Rookie first team with those statistics
29. CLEVELAND
CAVALIERS
RECORD: 19-62
RECORD: 19-62
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28
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0-4
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CHA
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Cleveland wrapped its five-game West Coast trip winless this
past week and lost its ninth straight game on Sunday. The team's defense --
which hasn't allowed fewer than 100 points in more than a month and is on pace
to finish as the worst in modern NBA history -- will be the clearest point of
emphasis ahead of next season. Until then, the Cavs will bank on continuing
their run of lottery success in hopes of speeding up their makeover.
30. NEW YORK
KNICKS
RECORD: 16-64
RECORD: 16-64
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30
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2-2
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@CHI, DET
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The Knicks will finish with the worst record in the NBA this
season, which will make them one of three teams with the best chance to secure
the top draft pick in June. There were reports this weekend that the Knicks
have an excellent chance of signing Kevin Durant as
a free agent this offseason. Knicks fans can enter the offseason with those
types of hopes to buoy them after what was otherwise one of the worst NBA
seasons of the past decade.
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