MY WINNERS AND
LOSERS FROM THE NCAA TOURNAMENT'S FIRST WEEKEND BEFORE SWEET 16
The NCAA tournament's first weekend saved the best for last
when top overall seed Duke was
pushed to the brink Sunday by a UCF team that seemed destined
to pull off one of the biggest upsets of all-time.
The thrilling last two minutes of the game provided moments
that define March Madness and in many ways made up for an otherwise mediocre
first three days.
But there's no shortage of storylines coming out of the
first weekend. Here's a look at the biggest winners and losers from four
non-stop days of madness — encompassing 48 games altogether:
MY WINNERS
DUKE. The whole "survive and advance"
mantra of the NCAAs couldn't be truer for this heavily favored Blue Devils team
that escaped a monumental upset to No. 9 seed Central Florida. It
was Williamson's bulldozing basket against 7-foot-6 center Tacko Fall and
R.J. Barrett's put-back — both plays made in the final 14 seconds —
that saved Duke's national title pursuit in the 77-76
thriller. Ultimately, this is a win for fans, too, considering
Duke's appeal as a must-watch spectacle unlike any team we've seen in
years.
VIRGINIA. The Cavaliers were trailing by six in the
first half against a No. 16 seed on Friday. That sentence alone is enough to
add more skepticism to the Virginia-choking bandwagon. But Virginia showed its
mettle in eventually shaking off a Gardner-Webb team that tried to
replicate UMBC's historic shocker last year, and then they outplayed
ninth-seeded Oklahoma to reach the Sweet 16 where they'll face No. 12 seed
Oregon with a trip to the Elite Eight on the line. The Cavaliers are national title
contenders, sporting the best defense and three-point shooting in this entire
tournament, and now the nerves have been calmed by two first weekend
wins.
THE ACC. With No. 1 seeds Duke, Virginia and
North Carolina all advancing to the Sweet 16, No. 4 seeds Florida State
(routing Murray State on Saturday) and Virginia Tech (dispatching Liberty on
Sunday) gave the ACC five teams in the Sweet 16. While the league had the fifth
best power conference rating in the NET, the NCAA's new metric replacing the RPI,
the fact that the conference was top-heavy this year shouldn't take away from
how good these five teams have been.
THE BIG TEN. The conference is sending its three best
teams to the Sweet 16, but the league's merit came with its eight teams faring
7-1 in the first round. Double-digit seeds Iowa, Ohio State and Minnesota
pulled off upsets — showing that its middling teams were better than their
seeding line having played themselves off the bubble.
SEC'S ELITE. LSU has been proving doubters
wrong, coming together under interim coach Tony Benford to silence the
skepticism that the SEC regular-season champs would falter with coach Will Wade
still suspended amid his involvement in an FBI probe. Kentucky won two games
without its leading scorer and rebounder, PJ Washington, helping the No. 2
seed's supporting cast grow in his absence (Washington is likely to be back for
the Sweet 16). Tennessee has perhaps been the biggest survivor of this
tournament, escaping a close call vs. No. 15 seed Colgate and then beating Iowa
in overtime after blowing a 25-point lead. Even Charles Barkley's alma mater
has had good fortune. The SEC tournament champion somehow avoided an upset vs.
New Mexico State in a near-collapse in the game's final minute. And then the
Tigers dismantled Kansas in a hot-shooting, tempo-controlling
performance.
CINDERELLAS LIBERTY AND UC IRVINE. The Flames
and Anteaters didn't advance to the Sweet 16, but their first round upset wins
over Mississippi State and Kansas State gave ups the bracket-busting upsets
that make this tournament special. And like Cinderella’s of yesteryear their
bottom-to-top story lines felt bigger than the tournament itself, with
Liberty's first-round hero Caleb Homesley scoring 30 points after being in
the coach's doghouse and UC Irvine stepping out of the California shadows that
UCLA and USC were supposed to rule.
THE WHOLE WEST REGION. Thought to be the weakest
region on the bracket, all four of the remaining teams have yet to stumble in
this tournament and are all good enough to cut down the nets in Minneapolis in
two weeks. Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Florida State and Michigan all looked
dominant in dispatching their second-round opponents, beating them by a
combined average of 19 points.
OREGON. The 12th-seeded Ducks weren't even supposed
to be here. Had they not won the Pac-12 tournament's auto bid, they had no shot
at an at-large bid. But that's the beauty of March, and Coach Dana Altman's
team peaked at the exact right time. Oregon's now won 10 games in a row and is
playing defense at an elite level. The Ducks' upset of No. 5 Wisconsin didn't
even feel like an upset and their second-round win over UC Irvine looked like
exactly what it was: A power conference team emphatically ending a mid-major's
Cinderella journey.
CARSEN EDWARDS. The Purdue All-American guard
was in a shooting slump, making just 21 percent of his three-pointers in the
games leading up to the NCAA tournament. Consider the slump over following his
42-point performance the Boilermakers' blowout win over Villanova.
MY LOSERS
UCF. March star Aubrey Dawkins (32
points off five three-pointers) and 7-foot-6 big man Tacko Fall (15
points, six rebounds) spearheaded a determined effort to bust brackets and
notch a historic upset. The ninth-seeded Knights were leading Duke by four with
two minutes to go and then one of the wildest final two minutes unfolded to
give us an instant classic. Dawkins' play was, magnificent, “and his
father (UCF coach Johnny Dawkins) used a brilliant scheme to position his team
for March glory — forcing Duke to shoot outside and making poor shooters like
Tre Jones beat them.
JA MORANT AND MURRAY STATE. All-American point
guard Ja Morant gave us our first triple-double in seven years in an
electrifying first-round performance to lift Murray State over
Marquette. But, ultimately, Morant couldn't provide a Steph Curry-esque
tournament run, as Florida State made quick work of the mid-major Racers.
IOWA, MARYLAND. Neither of these teams have any
reason to hang their heads for losing their second-round games to better seeds.
But it was how they lost that will sting well into the
offseason. The 10th-seeded Hawkeyes stormed back from a 25-point deficit to
force overtime against No. 2 seed Tennessee before exiting. And the Terrapins
were ousted on an LSU game-winner that gave us our closest thing to a
buzzer-beater in the first two rounds.
KANSAS. The Jayhawks started off as the preseason No.
1 team in both the coaches and AP polls thanks to a roster mixed with great
returning and incoming talent. But a deep postseason run never materialized as
KU bowed out of
these NCAAs with a second-round blowout loss to Auburn.
A promising 2018-19 started to unravel with
a season-ending injury to Udoka Azubuike in December that forced
coach Bill Self to rework the team's identity, which never fully materialized;
top-10 recruit Quentin Grimes under-performed in an inexperienced
backcourt and first-team All-American big man Dedric Lawson was forced to
do too much all year. By the time second-leading scorer Legerald Vick
unexpectedly left the team in February, the Jayhawks had already struggled
enough to eventually lose out on a 15th consecutive Big 12 title — ending the
program's epic streak of 14 seasons in a row.
FLETCHER MAGEE AND WOFFORD. The Terriers
were a dark-horse to go as far as the Final Four, putting together a 30-win
season and garnering a No. 7 seed as a mid-major from the Southern Conference.
They played the part in a first-round win over Seton Hall and were poised to
upset a Kentucky team playing without its top scorer and rebounder, PJ
Washington. But the NCAA's all-time leading three-point shooter had his worst
game at the worst possible time, going 0-for-12 from beyond the arc in a
game in which Wofford needed just one or two of those treys to go down to turn
the momentum and put the pressure on UK. Instead, it turned into a painful end
to Magee's career and one of the tournament's biggest what-could-have-been.
ALMOST CINDERELLAS. Speaking of what could've
been, New Mexico State and Belmont win the first weekend award for Cinderella’s
that blew it. The 31-win Aggies stormed back from seven points down vs. Auburn
in the game's final minute. Then guard AJ Harris passed up an opportunity to
tie the game in favor of a pass out to Terrell Brown, who was fouled on a
three-pointer. Down two, Brown only made one free throw but NMSU somehow kept
possession after the second miss, setting up a last-second play that turned out
to be an airball. Three chances to put on a glass slipper failed.
Belmont, meanwhile, was right there with Maryland in the
game's closing minutes. But the Bruins' Grayson Murphy turned the ball
over with four seconds remaining and the Terrapins escaped with a 79-77
win. Honorable mention in the Cinderella department are No. 15 seeds Bradley
(led Michigan State with seven minutes to go) and Colgate (was within three of
Tennessee with two minutes remaining) for their first-round near-upsets vs. No.
2 seeds.
BUFFALO. The Bulls got drubbed by 20 points to a
really strong Texas Tech team in a tough second-round draw, but the former
Cinderella was certainly looking to get further than it did last year after stunning
Arizona in the first round as a No. 13 seed. The committee rewarded its 32-win
season by giving Buffalo a No. 6 seed and following an impressive demolition of
Arizona State in the first round, the Bulls were even receiving sleeper Final
Four talk.
KANSAS STATE, NEVADA. Two of last year's NCAA
tournament overachievers seemed likely to repeat their success. Kansas
State, an Elite Eight finisher in 2018, brought virtually everyone back from
that squad but was bounced in the first round by Cinderella UC Irvine. And
Nevada, a Sweet 16 finisher last year, had a top-5 team during the season but
faltered late and despite having probably a better team than last year — still
led by Caleb and Cody Martin — another second weekend run wasn't meant to be as
No. 10-seeded Florida upset the Wolf Pack in the first round.
MICK CRONIN, CINCINNATI. The Bearcats probably
got hosed by the selection committee by earning a No. 7 seed after winning the
AAC tournament and posting 28 wins. But playing in nearby Columbus against a
seemingly slumping Iowa team appeared to be a favorable draw for this gritty
Cincinnati team that many forecasted to upset Tennessee in the second round.
But once again, a Mick Cronin-coached Cincinnati team came up short. In nine
NCAA tournament appearances, Cronin has only led the Bearcats to the Sweet 16
once. Last year, despite being a No. 2 seed, they bowed out in the round of 32.
The coach's second-weekend fate doesn't stack up with his pedigree and the
great teams he's had in recent memory
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