The NFC East is in flux. What's new? For the 14th
consecutive year, a different team in the league's most TV-friendly octant won
the division. It makes sense. Rents are soaring in metropoles like New York,
D.C., Dallas and Philly. It's hard to stay in the penthouse for long.
The Super Bowl LII
champion Eagles
learned that the hard way in 2018, struggling through Carson Wentz's
injuries and a Lombardi hangover that took half a season to get over. Philly
only looked Super Bowl-bound again when Big (Game) Nick Foles re-entered
the starting lineup. But now Foles has flown south with the geese, and Philly
is set to move on with the MVP-caliber, IR-acquainted Wentz for the foreseeable
future. The Eagles still
have the best situation in the division, from general manager Howie Roseman on
down, and though they might be favorites to win the NFC East in 2019, they
can't claim to be division champions heading into the new campaign.
That's the domain of the Cowboys,
who surged through the conference with a dominant last half, thanks to an
at-the-time-ridiculed trade for Amari Cooper.
It looked as if Dallas was mortgaging its future by surrendering a first-round
pick -- potentially a high one -- for the receiver, and that might still be
true. But the addition of Cooper jump-started Dallas' one-dimensional offense
and propelled the 'Boys to their first playoff victory in four years. If recent
history is any indication, Dallas is due for a downturn. The Cowboys
have alternated playoff seasons for the past five years, and no NFC East team
has gone back-to-back since Andy Reid's Eagles won
four straight division titles in the early aughts. But before Dallas can even
think about January football, it needs to ensure its stars will have stars on
their helmets for 2019 and beyond.
The Giants sent
their biggest star packing this offseason when they rid themselves, in their
minds, of Odell Beckham Jr.,
who gets to join an organization on the rise in Cleveland (more on that below).
The move was an indication of a greater identity crisis taking hold in East
Rutherford. New York's honchos insist Big Blue can win while rebuilding and
keep Eli Manning under
center all the while. The rest of the Giants'
offseason will provide a hint as to whether that's truly the plan.
Identity crises are nothing new for the Redskins,
who are stuck between a rock and Alex Smith's
boondoggle of a contract. The injured Smith, who likely won't
play in 2019 and might never play again, will be the
highest-paid player on Washington's roster this season. Again, the 'Skins are
hamstrung by an aggressively large contract not paying out in wins or, in this
case, availability. Washington, which struggles with injuries and on-field
mediocrity every year, is at risk of suffering from the same ills again in
2019.
FREE AGENCY
NOTABLES
BIGGEST ADDITION: Landon
Collins, safety.
Old Team: New York
Giants. New Team: Washington
Redskins.
By biggest, do we mean "largest contract signed"
or "most impactful on-field acquisition" or "most outsized
body-mass index"? My editors did not outline this. So, I'll take it to
mean a mix of the first two definitions. Whether Washington's signing of Collins
for $84 million
total (and $45 million in guarantees) over six years was the
right move for the team or for the safety is not the issue at hand here; D.C.
needed help in the secondary, and Collins has a sincere reverence for Redskins great
Sean Taylor, so it can be seen as a personnel and personal match. But the move
was BIG because it helped Washington and hurt/embarrassed one of its rivals at
the exact same time. The Giants were
supposed to franchise tag Collins on a tender worth $11.15 million for
safeties. Desiring an extension instead of a tag, Collins was
not expected to immediately sign the tender, but that's not the
point. Instead of even handing him the tag, New York let Collins hit free
agency, where he was quickly scooped up by the division-rival Redskins,
who made him the highest-paid safety in the league ($14M per). Washington saw
value in the three-time Pro Bowl safety
where the Giants did
not. New York thinks it replaced Collins with Jabrill
Peppers, whom they acquired from
Cleveland in the OBJ trade and whom Big Blue brass will argue
is a cheaper, rangier option with higher upside. But letting Collins Amtrak
down to a hated division rival without a fight was a questionable move by New
York.
BIGGEST LOSS: Odell Beckham Jr.,
wide receiver.
Old Team: New York
Giants. New Team: Cleveland
Browns.
Speaking of questionable moves ... Forget the division --
there might not be a bigger loss in the entire league this offseason than that
of Beckham. The Giants shocked
the football world when they traded the transcendent wide receiver to the Browns.
It was considerably surprising because Beckham carries a $16 million dead-money
hit on New York's cap in 2019. New York has since "replaced" OBJ with
slot man and YAC-god Golden Tate.
If Tate is to be the No. 1 WR in NY, then the Giants are
paying out roughly $31 million for him to fill in Beckham's production, which
at his peak was over 100 receiving yards per game. The Giants will
say this is for the best over time, that the future of the franchise rests on
the legs of Saquon
Barkley and the arm of the franchise-quarterback-to-be-named-later,
both of whom deserve to be the focal point of the offense, and not on the gluey
gloves of an eccentric wide receiver with special field-stretching capabilities
and a penchant for sideline hysterics. Ten years from now, New York's front
office might be proven right. But Beckham's absence will linger over this
franchise until the Giants emerge
from their rebuild as winners. That is, unless the Browns win
a Super Bowl first with
OBJ on the field -- then the swap will haunt the G-Men for all eternity.
SLEEPER ADDITION: Jordan Howard,
running back.
Old Team: Chicago Bears. New
Team: Philadelphia
Eagles.
Philly's low-risk,
high-reward trade for Howard came more than two weeks after the
start of free agency, on a nondescript Thursday evening, when some Eagles fans
might have actually been snoozing'. A small-potatoes acquisition that just
might've filled one of the only holes on Philadelphia's roster, it was the very
definition of a sleeper pickup. The Eagles were
held back by a lack of balance on offense last season. With Jay Ajayi and Darren
Sproles sidelined with injuries, Philadelphia averaged just
98.1 rushing YPG and 3.9 YPC (28th and 30th in NFL). That was a far cry from
2017, when a Super Bowl-winning trio of Ajayi, LeGarrette
Blount and Corey Clement guided
Philly's running game to 132.2 YPG (third) and 4.5 YPC (tied for third).
Howard, who is third in the NFL in rushing since entering the league in 2016
(behind only Ezekiel
Elliott and Todd Gurley), has the potential to be the lead back
that Ajayi, still a free agent, could not be last year. Even better for Roseman
and Co., Howard costs just $2 million in 2019, after which his contract is up.
It's a prove-it year for a 24-year-old running back with high upside. Plus, if
Howard performs well and Philly lets him hit free agency after the year,
the Eagles can
recoup a compensatory pick.
WHAT'S NEXT?
DALLAS COWBOYS: its big decision(s) time in Big
D. The Cowboys have
a slew of contract extensions to work on, with nearly every one of their
above-the-fold playmakers. DeMarcus
Lawrence, currently on his second franchise tag, wants to be the
highest-paid edge rusher in football. According to NFL Network Insider Ian
Rapoport, though, talks are at an "impasse" as
Lawrence holds off getting shoulder surgery. (UPDATE: Lawrence
agreed to a five-year deal worth more than $100 million with
Dallas on Friday, per Rapoport.) Starting quarterback Dak Prescott's
rookie deal is up at the end of the 2019 season, and Dallas has to decide
whether to pay him like a franchise starter. Ezekiel
Elliott could have his fifth-year option picked up to extend
his deal through 2020, unless the Cowboys strike
a team-friendly extension beforehand. And then there's Amari Cooper,
for whom Dallas traded a first-round pick and who is entering the fifth year of
his rookie deal. Aside from Lawrence's new deal, none of these contract
situations look to be resolved before the draft later this month, where
the Cowboys don't
currently hold a pick until Day 2. And we thought "Who
shot J.R.?" was the biggest question to ever hang over
Dallas.
NEW YORK GIANTS: One of the most important
drafts in franchise history, that's what's next. New York's selection of
Offensive Rookie of the Year Saquon
Barkley with the second overall pick last year was lambasted by
some, given that Manning was thought to be aging out of the starting QB job
and Sam Darnold, Josh Allen and Josh Rosen were
still on the board. If the Giants don't
acquire the right franchise signal-caller in this year's draft, then WFAN
callers will rise from the sofas, storm the Meadowlands and call for GM Dave
Gettleman's head. The OBJ trade netted New York a second first-round pick (No.
17) to go with the sixth and 37th overall selections, giving Gettleman an
arsenal of valuable picks to use to trade up into the top five for a
quarterback, if he so desires. Big Blue could also use them to swing a trade
for Rosen, whom the Cardinals could
sell off in between the first and sixth overall picks (if they take Kyler Murray No.
1 overall, as has been rumored). New York has a lot of holes to fill -- right
tackle, edge rusher, wide receiver, etc. -- but the success of the
organization's offseason and Gettleman's tenure will be judged squarely on
their ability to acquire a successor to Eli.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Having escaped from cap
hell and filled needs at defensive line and running back, Philly can kick back
and focus on building depth and a future through the draft. The Eagles have
three selections in the first 57 picks and could use them to choose an eventual
successor to Jason Peters at
tackle or an immediate replacement for Jordan Hicks
in the linebacking corps. Philly should also keep an eye on an extension for
Wentz, whom the Eagles
might want to pay before Prescott, Jared Goff and Patrick
Mahomes get their franchise deals.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS: The 'Skins will have to
decide whether their future at the QB position is in this upcoming draft.
Washington sits at No. 15, which is probably too late for Murray or Dwayne
Haskins, but could be the sweet spot for Drew Lock or Daniel Jones.
D.C.'s decision makers have sounded confident that either Case Keenum or Colt McCoy can
get the job done under center this year, but I'm not so sure they actually
believe that. Washington should also be in the market for a young receiver and
edge rusher to replace the production of Jamison
Crowder and Preston Smith,
respectively.
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